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Frozen pre-match forecast · #75385

Campos AA VS 7 de Abril

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.66%
Draw
23.25%
Away
19.10%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0410
Log loss
1.6556

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
5fdea006edba2cdadb1b8cb15fb2f57f94f58f31cc85fc992ccf1e21844bfdbd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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