Frozen pre-match forecast · #75253
Kallithea VS Asteras Tripolis II
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 27 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 28 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 57.01%
- Draw
- 26.18%
- Away
- 16.81%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.2816
- Log loss
- 0.5619
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 27 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
- SHA-256
- 9e489adae58aaa9ea93575f4fb37dc2478817ef96cc59c0f9ccffc8de3f11260
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.