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Frozen pre-match forecast · #75242

Hodio VS AS Cotonou

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.73%
Draw
32.63%
Away
24.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4951
Log loss
0.8502

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
19ec7108bae677a24424769ade9acefcd1fe48ad3d0f2635c076c589ec905ab6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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