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Frozen pre-match forecast · #75159

Čarda Martjanci VS Videm

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.29%
Draw
18.56%
Away
22.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2492
Log loss
0.5227

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
6318902fb66fa51b668df143c60c590b39ed2d898eb0eb81f9aa18131c514e90

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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