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Frozen pre-match forecast · #7506

Twente VS PSV Eindhoven

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.07%
Draw
28.72%
Away
44.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8099
Log loss
1.3068

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
631349a9e9e03a4d4f39a11495bdfabefac5126c2cc148a516eb51c7236a4c07

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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