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Frozen pre-match forecast · #75034

Plataria VS Pallixouriakos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.58%
Draw
26.15%
Away
27.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8367
Log loss
1.3413

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
f8364de771f3c0ddc9054353184009036396e103c7e299c097e9006aec27ac6e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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