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Frozen pre-match forecast · #74976

Ganshoren VS AS Eupen II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.71%
Draw
18.26%
Away
16.03%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1766
Log loss
0.4199

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
87d15a5d3ed4f6a6e55afcd0a3fd44799204bb2ec0dd117cfeba826d9b667137

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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