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Frozen pre-match forecast · #74882

Eidsvold VS Trygg/Lade

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
80.71%
Draw
13.04%
Away
6.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0582
Log loss
0.2144

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
7e38a2b29908c25520e3dd9f9314c4d4c417b447e5321ee1ad0b1d39ec9ae132

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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