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Frozen pre-match forecast · #74516

Guyana VS Cayman Islands

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
88.64%
Draw
8.74%
Away
2.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0212
Log loss
0.1206

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
SHA-256
0621609a57650079b47542d9e4af2a54c9791c2f21b11237018642aedeec65ec

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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