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Frozen pre-match forecast · #74467

TP-47 VS SJK-juniorit

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.11%
Draw
21.90%
Away
32.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.7005
Log loss
1.1090

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
SHA-256
f28cd47f524c56507a360e538b4f624ca6a359cab7cce959d7fd9dc82fc72f1b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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