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Frozen pre-match forecast · #74447

Coruña VS Viveiro

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 10:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.81%
Draw
27.90%
Away
27.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8073
Log loss
1.2986

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
SHA-256
1233a436869f06d7c0aefaa6e82aca002fa31f33fbbff0214bda582782459f8c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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