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Frozen pre-match forecast · #74435

Calcutta Customs VS Minerva Punjab

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
11.76%
Draw
17.24%
Away
70.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 790-minute result
Brier score
0.1277
Log loss
0.3425

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
SHA-256
809d87309b16ecfda02574faab2eeb696e115e1faa23d150e9a37c7a4d4a0393

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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