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Frozen pre-match forecast · #7434

Kiryat Yam SC VS Ironi Modi'in

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.14%
Draw
28.27%
Away
24.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4198
Log loss
0.7520

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
1e19d1a144dc2ae21cd8a4f6dbf76e134678ccef023acd113fca74b8041650b2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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