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Frozen pre-match forecast · #74276

Ordino VS Inter Club d'Escaldes

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
12.36%
Draw
18.81%
Away
68.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.1478
Log loss
0.3735

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UTC
SHA-256
1ff60cb05c04164f1d64f8758ae39d30239b85ef48f973f3a1a94a57eae5c4c5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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