Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #74242

Houtvenne VS Knokke

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.67%
Draw
22.93%
Away
29.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4129
Log loss
0.7409

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
SHA-256
68f38cc4bf260d5ea47fd62e9405b9745473d1d4b47ca27c90c5603dcc99971b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →