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Frozen pre-match forecast · #742

Pors Grenland VS Stabaek

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.48%
Draw
33.33%
Away
39.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6735
Log loss
1.0986

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
4b483e0a2540fed2e25b5ea9f0e214db967cf0ac5322166e0315c448522fc1a3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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