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Frozen pre-match forecast · #74043

Hakla SC VS Great Olympics

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.44%
Draw
27.00%
Away
21.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3552
Log loss
0.6648

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
SHA-256
e5220325307640e2c20aeb005d7e51bc6cb23b0277a6872ea85b9fd213cfed64

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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