Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #73962

Bulle VS Paradiso

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.85%
Draw
22.49%
Away
26.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9304
Log loss
1.4921

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
SHA-256
706b4b0dc627f2ed392d886a80ccdeb570c46a25f6de82239e1ecbd498ae9dae

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →