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Frozen pre-match forecast · #73891

Norrby IF VS Osters IF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.39%
Draw
25.04%
Away
38.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6161
Log loss
1.0109

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
SHA-256
e92c09c09c0329a3d2f3e8235b9011a41cef8e02fa6e722c5ad0ba69a946b5e8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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