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Frozen pre-match forecast · #7373

Kalamata VS Larisa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.69%
Draw
27.57%
Away
24.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8133
Log loss
1.2884

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
36a8e831bc134687dcf19bd4b4869f1354f20d038af5c1cf39b46b23e5325c31

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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