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Frozen pre-match forecast · #73721

Barcelona B VS SD Logroñés

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
72.50%
Draw
18.74%
Away
8.76%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1184
Log loss
0.3216

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
SHA-256
f1e80b5673a835998a15ecb67e5c9be644b1332be665318f7b012e9ca59c24d6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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