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Frozen pre-match forecast · #73686

Velké Hamry VS Teplice II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.98%
Draw
21.63%
Away
59.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.0559
Log loss
1.6618

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
SHA-256
575f0d2515be5b963d5bf9ae890e72d009da46aff904b8a52f417f8c39203b79

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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