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Frozen pre-match forecast · #73592

Šampion Celje VS Hajdina

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.40%
Draw
23.67%
Away
27.93%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8097
Log loss
1.2755

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
SHA-256
cf1ee8649e5b25d3752bb5b8185cbd3ee65880b1fbd20e0a6a467c13edc001f4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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