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Frozen pre-match forecast · #73398

MFK Bytča VS Humenné

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.08%
Draw
26.60%
Away
36.32%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5986
Log loss
0.9921

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
SHA-256
a9e4c04625a761ce0e3110d92b7ba6e2adcd2e54c3efbc3be3e78c5d882f0d92

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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