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Frozen pre-match forecast · #7336

Udinese VS Cagliari

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.32%
Draw
34.04%
Away
33.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6607
Log loss
1.0895

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
02eb390b3e096584854b3d295b9a7d09e5d46b7b533eff4ea03e6819e0bf44cb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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