Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #72964

Persita VS Garudayaksa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.61%
Draw
27.12%
Away
30.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4945
Log loss
0.8531

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
SHA-256
1de51a74cd58558445435a57a2ab06673a7bccd2b1bd2ae950f93d86270156b4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →