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Frozen pre-match forecast · #72961

Hlinsko VS Kosmonosy

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.85%
Draw
19.62%
Away
57.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.2711
Log loss
0.5529

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
SHA-256
9696d7344bbdf337cf44928de10f7a30d91fc9bdfeb3f8d189f2d27e72880e8f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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