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Frozen pre-match forecast · #72913

Polanka nad Odrou VS Frýdek-Místek

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 07:00 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
17.77%
Draw
21.48%
Away
60.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.0914
Log loss
1.7277

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 07:00 UTC
SHA-256
519915475cc4830f8added8c2b4ea9e25cabff0ec716ed3b1b19fba0053ab768

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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