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Frozen pre-match forecast · #72745

Siwelele U23 VS Sekhukhune United U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.35%
Draw
22.26%
Away
25.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8801
Log loss
1.3705

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
753a9f41e6de2e965db2c725799383bb78d6da99f23a0b9797dfd270257a0d64

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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