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Frozen pre-match forecast · #72584

Jitex W VS Linköping W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.11%
Draw
21.54%
Away
50.34%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8166
Log loss
1.2689

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
688decbc0291106ee67cb566bb0f24897107d700da87f03827b212050ce25728

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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