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Frozen pre-match forecast · #7252

BuxDu VS Respublika FA

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.93%
Draw
32.78%
Away
46.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4398
Log loss
0.7704

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
2be5dda0128cad4d60612da915a6bf6768f4ab93198e1e7ca828be0e83c5b95f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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