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Frozen pre-match forecast · #72413

Madla VS Viking

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
3.09%
Draw
7.21%
Away
89.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.0168
Log loss
0.1087

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
bd9dda18fbfc57865adfa007b6b4dc782e627bf2b49bc4bf0e5bcb5fb2bcaaad

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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