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Frozen pre-match forecast · #72346

Rotselaar VS Rupel Boom

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.63%
Draw
23.21%
Away
48.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7952
Log loss
1.2507

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
039ad560ed0548617cb15cc82b9324ce8af1560b592aa30610643575db302b97

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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