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Frozen pre-match forecast · #72175

Boreham Wood VS Kidderminster Harriers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.45%
Draw
24.51%
Away
27.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3989
Log loss
0.7246

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
f7392182ed51dde7a4ac68103b06eb384bd4298324deea3958bbc344db5786b5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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