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Frozen pre-match forecast · #72097

Al Shahaniya VS Al-Duhail SC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 17:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.98%
Draw
24.12%
Away
45.90%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4407
Log loss
0.7787

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
3ed05977a2112deac62e39456c4c00959642a29cd64e8b11835ebb119258ae8d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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