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Frozen pre-match forecast · #72073

Tensung VS RTC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
9.65%
Draw
15.18%
Away
75.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.0940
Log loss
0.2854

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
1547594ad532e38a7cbe5ba9bd04a2861148fb66e0fc217d7c07f53ef4720c2f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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