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Frozen pre-match forecast · #71903

Vimenor VS Torina

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.88%
Draw
26.38%
Away
26.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8333
Log loss
1.3326

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
6dcb4e52f1f9e415efc7efa7fa86842d5c09667b16b24be3699f8c1756c7b26d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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