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Frozen pre-match forecast · #71674

Sarrabus Ogliastra VS Unipomezia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.88%
Draw
27.32%
Away
34.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7928
Log loss
1.2976

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
f9b5e06d9c1b7a93eae921c1a817cb9f3ab7190e3bcc4732e8870fb4d0103638

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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