Frozen pre-match forecast · #71612
Virtus Verona VS Pavonese
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 61.64%
- Draw
- 23.37%
- Away
- 14.98%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 1.1575
- Log loss
- 1.8984
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
- SHA-256
- 15968758f8eee8e5e947e5187bd9023cc2da289e4479d4b4071d1da8763d8836
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.