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Frozen pre-match forecast · #7157

Brighton W VS Tottenham Hotspur W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:43 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.32%
Draw
29.96%
Away
34.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6407
Log loss
1.0579

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:43 UTC
SHA-256
9233d107c5bc8e869d0583857d37b2dfe27bbbc7af0b4bcdf770b41122b46275

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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