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Frozen pre-match forecast · #7149

Rotselaar VS Rupel Boom

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:43 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.39%
Draw
33.95%
Away
36.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7482
Log loss
1.2245

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:43 UTC
SHA-256
8b4f7385754a747da8fff25073aafb71d06968488cc01a63b022968365a02884

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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