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Frozen pre-match forecast · #71444

Valladolid VS Cordoba

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.58%
Draw
26.26%
Away
32.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5137
Log loss
0.8776

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
cb1b05afaa6daf3d53321de57f58877b5b9c9009891ca43daa2e15df984dfc77

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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