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Frozen pre-match forecast · #7144

EC Novo Horizonte VS Clube 1992

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:43 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.92%
Draw
34.89%
Away
36.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6125
Log loss
1.0164

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:43 UTC
SHA-256
4e375dffcc07962c2f2ca4dd2c91e1efa533b7f042251da5189218445a34961b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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