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Frozen pre-match forecast · #71192

Quevilly VS Amiens

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.66%
Draw
28.41%
Away
39.93%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7722
Log loss
1.2584

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
dcd7c38a2ae1e34c293e8ac3fe712edb72ee3a1456d67d145c14a44aa9271bdb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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