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Frozen pre-match forecast · #71148

Bocholt VS Royal Antwerp II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.55%
Draw
21.36%
Away
58.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0143
Log loss
1.5823

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
a2fda4bf2e44ed9c4cf660754d0a2d6d7fc98cf5fe1c91d5ab391d4b28ef012d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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