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Frozen pre-match forecast · #7105

Verl II VS Gievenbeck

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:42 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 17:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.17%
Draw
29.42%
Away
39.42%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7157
Log loss
1.1658

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:42 UTC
SHA-256
2acacc5b742345d00abd4690c3e61a31307fc15cd207cc4966e8db5f785bc5ea

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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