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Frozen pre-match forecast · #71034

Lebrijana VS Ceuta 6 de Junio

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.50%
Draw
22.02%
Away
33.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4686
Log loss
0.8097

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
f1b58f8d7dd3e1088a3d682b511abda22a17b992a8f8b7b05209abf22cf44ee1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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