Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #70737

Airdrie United VS Berwick Rangers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
84.33%
Draw
10.51%
Away
5.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

7 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0383
Log loss
0.1705

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
048bf7da18c70f5bc3d2a6aba0d1ec588dcec9921cf6e0c4bc9e6c96d654f520

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →