Frozen pre-match forecast · #70524
Karitsa VS Sarakinos
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 26 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 26 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 43.98%
- Draw
- 25.82%
- Away
- 30.21%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.4718
- Log loss
- 0.8215
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 26 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
- SHA-256
- 0a3cc2e9ec1668fe416dd7f7039dc4bac495569450e9bd407beef95b7d32a317
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.