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Frozen pre-match forecast · #70441

Strindheim VS Molde II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.95%
Draw
15.11%
Away
14.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

10 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1355
Log loss
0.3574

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
795954b077596e413096cce37f4b1d83ddc823835ba2125b570781e66dc64bc3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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